Saturday 13 June 2015

New World DISORDER!!


History has always shown us that the TRANSITION of power from one country to another has never been smooth. In bringing long term ORDER, the world has always seen short term DISORDERS. Will the 21st century be any different?
 
Let us look things in PERSPECTIVE. Though militarily there have been one or the other empires that have dominated this world but economically, there had only been two nations - INDIA & CHINA, who have dominated the world economy for thousands of years. At almost similar output (30% each of world output), it has always been hard to determine as to which nation has dominated more but largely this was the picture which changed completely with  the advent of INDUSTRIAL AGE & many European powers started making there mark, most importantly the UNITED KINGDOM, which became the most powerful seafaring nation. There has always been a saying - "Nation which controls the sea, controls the land" & UK is the most ideal nation to cite as an example. With increasing military power, thanks to the industrial revolution, it colonized almost half of the world including economic giant INDIA. Thus, UK became the undisputable superpower of the globe for more than 200 years.
 
Everything that rises has to fall & UK wasn't any different. Two world wars in the early half of 20th century, rising independence movements in colonies & emergence of other powers had it's baring on the "GREAT" tag of Britain. The transition of power was again not smooth as the world saw the biggest war of human history in the shape of WORLD WAR II before this transition could take place. Post World War II saw the rise of two great powers - USA & USSR. Thus, the world was divided into two ideological blocks which started 45 years of "COLD WAR". The world lived in constant fear of Nuclear ARMAGGEDON if the "cold war" turned "HOT" & it certainly did come close to it many times. But as they say, nothing is permanent, so was the cold war. It ended with 1991 disintegration of USSR, making US the sole superpower of the world.
 
Things are changing & changing fast, for good or bad? Only time will tell. US' power has saturated & is on a downward curve. New powers are emerging in shape of Russia, China, India among others. Though challenging the mighty US is still a far cry for any of them, but there rise can't be discarded either.
 
This world has seen multiple POLES (powers), two poles & single pole in just a century. Multiple poles had resulted into world wars, two poles resulted into cold war & a single pole resulted in totally unchallenged & unchecked power in the hands of a single nation. Now again we are moving towards a multi-polar world....will this transition be also chaotic & resulting into something that world can ill-afford - THE THIRD WORLD WAR!? Only time will tell.....
 
******HJ******

1 comment:

  1. Excellent analysis then Nation which controls the sea, controls the land so very true as history talk. I am very sure under th present leadership in Hindustan ,country will and getting powerful not just militarily but economically too as economy powers the growth and development. Chine is lucky to implements any thing due to the one party rule in Hindustan this time the hope can be seen. Then to some power hungry parties cannot digest this as for them their personal ambition are more then the country.I am positive this time with respected PM Modi that he will bring the nation to to new heights of progress prosperity. Coming together is a beginning; keeping together is progress; working together is success. Jai Hind .

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